Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Queens Park Rangers
26.6%
Draw
41.7%
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.53
Derby
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).