Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Bastia
28.2%
Draw
49.2%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Bastia
vs
1.21
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.9%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).