Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Valencia
16.0%
Draw
8.1%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Valencia
vs
0.64
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).