Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
Lincoln
13.3%
Draw
10.7%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Lincoln
vs
0.95
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
6.0%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
5-0
3.3%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).