Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.4%
Almeria
14.1%
Draw
6.5%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Almeria
vs
0.56
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.7%
3-0
12.1%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
6.6%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).