Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Besiktas
28.6%
Draw
50.3%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Besiktas
vs
1.80
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).