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HHT: 11CSV

08 Jan 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.1%
Ankaragucu
34.6%
Draw
24.3%
Kayserispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Ankaragucu

vs
0.96

Kayserispor

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).