Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Mansfield
14.6%
Draw
10.6%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Mansfield
vs
0.89
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.7%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
5-0
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).