Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Mansfield
24.7%
Draw
21.3%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Mansfield
vs
0.79
Northampton
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).