Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Paris SG
21.5%
Draw
23.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Paris SG
vs
1.13
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).