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03 Feb 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
Portsmouth
26.7%
Draw
53.2%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Portsmouth

vs
1.63

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).