Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Buxton
19.0%
Draw
53.3%
Kettering Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Buxton
vs
2.39
Kettering Town
Markets
BTTS74.2%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.6%
Over 3.558.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-1
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
1-4
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).