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DHT: 00CSV

19 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Ebbsfleet
28.2%
Draw
50.0%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.50

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
0-2
10.1%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).