Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Spezia
30.9%
Draw
31.8%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Spezia
vs
1.10
Trapani
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).