Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.6%
Clermont
31.1%
Draw
30.3%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Clermont
vs
0.80
Bastia
Markets
BTTS32.8%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
16.2%
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).