Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.0%
Metz
20.1%
Draw
17.9%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Metz
vs
0.94
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).