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HHT: 00CSV

11 Nov 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Forfar
30.3%
Draw
31.3%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Forfar

vs
1.06

East Fife

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).