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13 Sept 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.8%
Crowborough Athletic
28.0%
Draw
19.2%
Deportivo Alavés

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Crowborough Athletic

vs
0.73

Deportivo Alavés

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).