Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Besiktas
27.2%
Draw
38.6%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Besiktas
vs
1.78
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS69.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).