Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Virtus Entella
32.3%
Draw
35.1%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Virtus Entella
vs
1.09
Livorno
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).