Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Paris SG
18.2%
Draw
11.3%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Paris SG
vs
0.70
Nantes
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).