Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Alcorcon
30.7%
Draw
49.7%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Alcorcon
vs
1.18
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.6%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).