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26 Jan 2026 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Norwich
25.8%
Draw
43.2%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Norwich

vs
1.65

Coventry

Markets

BTTS61.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).