Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Accrington
32.0%
Draw
40.7%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Accrington
vs
0.99
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.551.4%
Over 2.525.4%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.0%
0-0
16.9%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).