Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Oviedo
21.9%
Draw
8.7%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Oviedo
vs
0.42
Lugo
Markets
BTTS28.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.3%
2-0
17.3%
0-0
11.8%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).