Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Southampton
21.2%
Draw
67.3%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Southampton
vs
2.17
Leeds
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.0%
1-1
10.2%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).