Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
24.5%
Draw
16.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
0.87
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).