Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Pau FC
22.3%
Draw
22.2%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Pau FC
vs
0.95
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).