Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Reading
20.7%
Draw
28.4%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Reading
vs
1.36
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).