Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Wealdstone
21.2%
Draw
59.1%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Wealdstone
vs
2.25
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS64.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.546.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.5%
1-4
4.0%
0-0
3.7%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).