Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Sassuolo
25.9%
Draw
22.6%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Sassuolo
vs
0.89
Venezia
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).