Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Bromsgrove Sporting
21.2%
Draw
12.9%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Bromsgrove Sporting
vs
0.81
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).