Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Chesterfield
24.5%
Draw
30.0%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Chesterfield
vs
1.17
Walsall
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).