Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.9%
Lorient
13.6%
Draw
7.5%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Lorient
vs
0.62
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
3-0
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
4.0%
5-0
3.6%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).