Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Red Star
22.4%
Draw
29.7%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Red Star
vs
1.24
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).