Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.2%
Barcelona
9.4%
Draw
4.5%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Barcelona
vs
0.70
Leganes
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.0%
2-0
9.9%
4-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
4-1
6.4%
5-0
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).