Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Espanol
25.2%
Draw
23.7%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Espanol
vs
0.97
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).