Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Wigan
24.0%
Draw
61.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Wigan
vs
1.51
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.2%
0-2
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
2.9%
0-4
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
2-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).