Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Birmingham
14.0%
Draw
6.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Birmingham
vs
0.48
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
14.8%
3-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).