Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.8%
York
14.7%
Draw
7.5%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
York
vs
0.78
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).