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AHT: 10CSV

10 Feb 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Kaiserslautern
26.7%
Draw
37.9%
Paderborn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.51

Paderborn

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).