Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Perugia
28.9%
Draw
23.6%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Perugia
vs
0.96
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).