Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Santa Clara
30.8%
Draw
20.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Santa Clara
vs
0.76
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).