Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Le Havre
29.5%
Draw
17.9%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Le Havre
vs
0.54
Clermont
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.550.3%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.0%
0-0
17.0%
2-0
12.4%
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).