Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Walsall
28.1%
Draw
31.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Walsall
vs
1.01
Accrington
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).