Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Fiorentina
23.9%
Draw
21.2%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Fiorentina
vs
0.93
Empoli
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).