Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Roma
30.3%
Draw
33.2%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Roma
vs
0.97
Milan
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.4%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).