Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Real Madrid
23.2%
Draw
31.1%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Real Madrid
vs
1.49
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS65.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).