Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Rochdale
26.7%
Draw
37.4%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Rochdale
vs
1.21
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).