Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Cambridge
19.0%
Draw
10.5%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Cambridge
vs
0.59
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
2-0
15.0%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).